In a recent development, renowned crypto trader and analyst Crypto Tony has weighed in on the Ethereum market in his recent X post, cautioning against shorting the current range lows. Expressing confidence in his strategy, Crypto Tony revealed he had already locked in profits at these levels and was awaiting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to determine the next strategic moves.
$ETH / $USD – Update
— Crypto Tony (@CryptoTony__) October 12, 2023
So ETH is sat at the range lows and we know not to short the range lows. I have already taken profit yesterday at these lows here, and will be waiting for the #CPI today to establish the next moves to come pic.twitter.com/CDUN95TeB7
The Ethereum market grapples with significant selling pressure again, even as bullish forces scramble to defend the critical support at $1,550. The excitement surrounding the approval of multiple Ether futures ETFs earlier in the week propelled ETH to $1,750. However, the fragile crypto market structure, coupled with profit-taking maneuvers by investors, curtailed the recovery, resulting in a sharp descent.
Since June, Ethereum’s market valuation has dwindled by 18%, while Bitcoin experienced a loss of nearly half that figure, settling at $522 billion. In the past week, Ethereum’s market value witnessed a 5.23% decline, in contrast to Bitcoin’s 2.9% drop to $26,792. Ethereum is trading at $1552.81, showing a marginal decline of 1.25% in the last 24 hours.
This downward trajectory has reduced Ethereum’s percentage in the overall market capitalization, sliding from approximately 18.4% at the outset of 2023 to its current 17.9%. Conversely, Bitcoin has shown resilience, with its market value surging from 40% at the start of the year to 50%.
Ethereum’s price is below all major bull market moving average indicators, including the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), the 100-week EMA, and the 200-week EMA.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) further underscores the bearish sentiment as it descends below the midpoint (50), heading perilously toward the oversold territory (below 30).
If the price of Ethereum drops below $1,550, it may indicate that the potential trend reversal characterized by the descending wedge pattern on the weekly chart is no longer likely. In such a scenario, the next reliable support level is expected to be around $1,450, a point of significant buyer interest in the past. However, traders should also consider the possibility of further losses, with the price potentially dropping to $1,230 or even $1,050.
A swift rebound is on the horizon if the bullish forces stand their ground at $1,550, leading an ascent to retake the higher ground at $1,600. This strategic move could serve as a rallying point, luring investors back into the market, driven by the expectation of a breakout from the descending wedge pattern, aiming for levels at or above $1,800, possibly surging beyond the $2,000 milestone.