Despite growing optimism among XRP enthusiasts, the possibility of a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) receiving regulatory approval appears to be slim. According to analysts, several key factors contribute to this pessimistic outlook. These include the ongoing lawsuit between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple Labs, the lack of an approved XRP futures ETF, and the SEC’s recent track record in the crypto space.
One of the primary impediments to an XRP ETF is the ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC. This lawsuit, which is scheduled for trial in April 2024, casts a long shadow over the possibility of an ETF approval, as the SEC is unlikely to approve any XRP-related products while the case is still pending.
Complicating matters further is the lack of an approved XRP futures ETF in the United States. While Bitcoin and Ethereum have established futures markets, XRP lacks this crucial regulatory precedent, which acts as another hurdle for spot ETF issuers. The SEC has historically looked to futures markets as a benchmark for assessing the underlying asset’s suitability for an ETF.
Recently, rumors suggesting that asset management giant BlackRock might be considering an XRP-spot ETF have surfaced, sparking some hope. However, analysts cautioned that such plans would likely face intense regulatory scrutiny, given the SEC’s current stance on XRP. Additionally, the ongoing legal battle between the SEC and Ripple adds another layer of uncertainty to any potential BlackRock involvement.
While the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF has been granted, attention has shifted to the potential approval of a spot Ethereum ETF. While some speculate that an XRP ETF may follow suit, most analysts remain skeptical, emphasizing the need for a clear resolution to the SEC-Ripple case.
Despite the hope of some XRP enthusiasts, fueled by rumors and wishful thinking, a more realistic assessment suggests that the wait for an XRP ETF is likely to be long and arduous. Regulatory hurdles, coupled with ongoing legal uncertainties, cast a long shadow over any potential approval.
