BSC Prediction Markets Top $10B Volume as Daily Trades Hit $300M

• BSC prediction markets topped $10B cumulative volume, with “national” volume above $20B.
• Daily trading stabilized between $200M and $300M, defioasis’s dashboard data shows.
• Opinion holds a 50%+ share on points, while Probable’s zero-fee push drew wash-trade claims.

Binance Smart Chain (BSC) prediction markets have surpassed $10 billion in cumulative trading volume, Wu Blockchain reported, citing Dune Analytics. Defioasis’s dashboard also showed “national volume” above $20 billion. 

Recent daily trading has stabilized between $200 million and $300 million, the dashboard indicated. The figures point to sustained activity in decentralized prediction trading on BSC. They also highlight a tightening contest for liquidity among the largest platforms.

BSC prediction markets clear $10B as daily volume steadies now

Dune Analytics data indicated cumulative trading volume above $10 billion across BSC prediction markets, Wu Blockchain said. The tally aggregates transactions across multiple prediction venues on the network. Defioasis’s dashboard placed recent daily volume in a $200 million to $300 million range. That band signals persistent turnover across trading days.

Dashboards compile this data by reading on-chain transactions and summing traded amounts. They also estimate market share by comparing platform totals over the same period. In addition, public analytics let traders monitor shifts in activity as incentive programs change.

Prediction markets allow participants to take positions on future outcomes. Traders express views by buying and selling outcome-linked positions that settle on-chain. Binance Smart Chain’s low transaction costs can support frequent trading. Consequently, platforms can run incentive-heavy campaigns without high on-chain friction.

Daily volume stability also matters for market structure. It can reduce the chance that a single campaign dominates the data.

Opinion keeps 50%+ share as points incentives keep volume high

Opinion, a Binance Smart Chain (BSC)–based prediction market platform, has long held over 50% market share on BSC. Defioasis’s dashboard tied that lead to Opinion’s first-mover advantage and its points incentives.

Points rewards encourage repeat trading and ongoing participation. In addition, the incentives can attract liquidity providers who want deeper markets.

Large share can reinforce itself in on-chain markets. Traders tend to follow liquidity, and liquidity tends to follow active traders.

Opinion’s first-mover position can also shape user habits. New entrants often need stronger incentives to shift flow away from the incumbent.

Rivals have tried to narrow the gap through aggressive pricing and rewards. Still, the dashboard data has kept Opinion above the 50% level for extended periods.

Related: Vitalik Buterin on Why Prediction Markets Can Combat Misinformation

Probable’s zero-fee push lifts share amid wash trading claims

Probable, a Binance Smart Chain (BSC)–based prediction market platform, added a zero-fee trading strategy alongside points rewards. That approach briefly pushed Probable ahead of Opinion in market share, defioasis’s dashboard showed.

Zero-fee execution can change routing decisions quickly for active traders. Furthermore, points rewards can amplify the pull by attaching benefits to higher turnover.

The shift showed how sensitive on-chain market share can be to fee schedules. A small change in cost can redirect large amounts of volume.

Probable has faced accusations of wash trading, as noted in the same market discussion. Wash trading typically refers to trades that inflate reported activity without changing economic exposure.

Allegations of wash trading can affect how market participants interpret short-term spikes. However, defioasis’s dashboard has continued to show daily volume within the $200 million to $300 million range.

In addition, BSC prediction markets now show a higher baseline, with daily trading holding steady. Platforms are competing through points rewards, fee changes, and market share, tracked by Dune Analytics and defioasis.