Ethereum has embarked on an accelerated growth phase marked by a deflationary trend and key upgrades. Over the past month, the network has seen the destruction of a substantial $13 million worth of Ethereum (ETH), resulting in a net supply decrease of 5,619.39 ETH.
The deflationary pressure stems from Ethereum’s burning mechanism, which has incinerated 74,933.24 ETH, surpassing the 69,313.86 ETH issued during the same period. This deflationary trend holds potential implications for Ethereum’s market dynamics, possibly signaling an impending bullish rally.
Taking a closer look at the Ethereum chart, one key aspect under scrutiny is the potential breakthrough of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. Currently positioned just below this crucial level, Ethereum’s price movement above it could signify a shift in market sentiment, potentially triggering upward price momentum.
It is exhibiting strong indicators that could potentially push the price upwards. Several factors have converged to make ETH a potentially attractive hedge, providing a stark contrast to traditional assets facing inflation. After transitioning to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) in September 2022, ETH has become a deflationary asset. The burn mechanism introduced by EIP-1559 removes ETH from circulation, thereby reducing the supply.
Staking, a process where users lock up their ETH to secure the network and earn rewards, is gaining momentum. Currently, a quarter of the total ETH supply is staked, and this number is expected to increase with upcoming narratives like “Restaking.” This process uses staked ETH as collateral for further DeFi activities, creating a positive feedback loop. This reduces selling pressure and potentially leads to “more staking, more exchange outflows.”
The amount of ETH held on exchanges has been decreasing steadily, dropping from 30 million to 14.5 million in the past three years. This indicates institutional and long-term interest in the asset, further reducing selling pressure.
Upcoming developments like EIP-4844, which promises a 10x reduction in L2 gas fees, and token launches from prominent Ethereum projects like LayerZero, StarkNet, and zkSync could further accelerate adoption and network usage. The increased demand, coupled with a potentially decreasing supply, could create a bullish scenario for ETH prices.
