China’s Stablecoin Push Challenges U.S. Dollar Dominance

- China is using Hong Kong rules to test a yuan stablecoin for global cross-border use.
- Big firms like JD.com and Ant Group are running sandbox trials with regulators.
- The new yuan coin may reshape trade as stablecoins shift from USD to dual systems.
China has launched a bold initiative to challenge the U.S. dollar’s dominance in the $275 billion stablecoin market by approving a yuan-backed stablecoin pilot through Hong Kong. While cryptocurrencies remain banned on the mainland, Beijing is leveraging its flexible financial system to experiment with cross-border digital currency solutions.
The Hong Kong Stablecoins Ordinance, which came into effect from August 1, 2025, permits only licensed entities to issue fiat-backed digital tokens under strict regulatory oversight, such as anti-money laundering, transparency, and financial stability standards. Further, the tokens will be pegged to the offshore renminbi (CNH) and not the domestic currency, allowing international usage while maintaining capital control policies.
A Digital Yuan Push from the Shadows
According to sources, over $271 billion worth of stablecoins, like USDT and USDC, are currently pegged to the USD, reinforcing its global financial influence. China’s new policy aims to offer an alternative and promote the international use of the renminbi through blockchain rails.
Notably, the government is now vetting applicants, with the first licenses anticipated to be given out by early 2026. However, Chinese policymakers remain cautious. Concerns around capital flight are slowing the technology’s growth. A participant in recent regulatory discussions emphasized that “any stablecoin project implemented in China must be compatible with the country’s specific national conditions.” A central bank official reportedly issued repeated warnings about potential capital outflows linked to stablecoin activity.
Still, the policy shift is notable. China’s central bank governor Pan Gongsheng recently stated that stablecoins had “fundamentally reshaped the traditional payment landscape.” In response, Financial regulators have held multiple closed-door sessions to discuss the evolving strategies for cryptocurrencies and stablecoin technologies.
Led by state players and major fintech companies such as Standard Chartered, Ant Group, and JD.com, the development of the new yuan stablecoin is underway. Reportedly, these firms are part of Hong Kong’s unique regulatory sandbox, providing direct supervision to pilot programs. Apart from this, these tokens will operate independently from China’s DIP, which is designed for domestic use and retail payments.
Related: FTX Bankruptcy May Exclude Users in 49 Regions, Most Claims from China
Market Response and Regulatory Balance
In July, fintech firms in Hong Kong raised over $1.5 billion to build stablecoin and blockchain-based payment platforms. Analysts now see China’s stablecoin strategy as an extension of its broader digital currency agenda, despite the strict regulatory stance.
The mainland aims to avoid widespread retail use, instead focusing on business-to-business (B2B) applications for now. These efforts are structured to reduce reliance on dollar-backed tokens in international trade and cross-border settlements.
According to Reuters, JPMorgan has halved its stablecoin growth estimate and projected the market to hit only half a trillion dollars by 2028, citing unclear regulation and low practical use cases.
Hence, the question arises: Is China silently preparing for a bipolar world of stablecoins—one led by the yuan and the other by the dollar?
If achieved, it will transform digital finance worldwide, laying the groundwork for competing currencies in blockchain payments and decentralized finance. For now, however, the process is staged, closely measured, and strategically focused.