Monero Breaks Resistance as Futures Demand and Price Surge
- Monero cleared a long-standing resistance zone and confirmed a bullish breakout structure.
- Futures activity expanded fast as open interest climbed, and volatility followed price.
- Capital rotation from Zcash helped Monero reclaim leadership among privacy assets.
Monero moved sharply higher after breaking out of a months-long trading range. The privacy-focused cryptocurrency climbed to $575 on the daily XMR/USDT chart from KuCoin. The move represented a 2.75% daily gain and placed the price near the top of the session range. The advance pushed Monero above the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $534. That level had capped price action for several weeks. Once cleared, buying activity increased and price accelerated toward the next resistance near $600.
Breakout Ends Prolonged Consolidation Phase
The price of Monero (XMR) has been moving in an upward direction since the end of September, following the trajectory of an ascending channel. The price traced out a pattern of higher lows, but at the same time, the resistance level above proved too tough to break. This resistance came very close to $493 and also the midpoint of the range at $460.
Source: TradingView
In December, Monero was still being held prisoner in the range of $427 to $460. This area was indicative of a battleground where the sellers were trying to take over the market through their repeated campaigns. Nevertheless, every pullback did not result in a permanent breakdown.
The breakout that took place was finally quick and loud. The price shot through the congested area with hardly any resistance at all. Such movements are typically seen when the pressure from the sellers has considerably lessened already.
Lower support within the channel remains near $379. That level matches the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. The broader trend also stays well above $319, which marks the full retracement base.
Related: Monero Price Soars 6% Amid Reorg Shock That Sparked Network Concerns
Trading Momentum and Futures Data Expand
Momentum indicators reflected the sudden shift in price behavior. The RSI (14) climbed to 79.21, placing it in overbought territory. The RSI average remained below 56.78 at press time, indicating rapid upside acceleration. Derivatives data confirms rising trader participation. CoinGlass data shows Monero futures open interest rose 54% in the past 24 hours. Total open interest now stands at $192.83 million.
One month earlier, the same figure measured $66.5 million. The increase points to fresh positions entering the market. Such conditions often lead to wider price swings.
Zcash Decline Fuels Capital Rotation
Monero’s rally coincided with sharp losses in Zcash. Developers at the Electric Coin Company announced a large-scale departure. The news weighed heavily on the Zcash market confidence. Zcash’s price fell by approximately 20%, hitting a peak of just under $360 on the weekend. By this time, investors who suffered the losses had already moved their money to other places. Monero was the one that benefited from this transition.
Monero acquired Zcash’s position as the top privacy coin by market capitalization after the latter’s price drop. This change coincided with Monero’s technical breakout. There was an increase in trading activity in both spot and derivatives markets.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt added a longer-term context this week. He compared Monero’s multi-year price structure with silver’s historical setup. Silver spent years moving sideways before rising to $84 per ounce since October.
Brandt’s comparison focused on structure rather than timing. Both assets showed extended resistance followed by sharp resolution. The question now facing traders is simple: Does Monero finally exit its long consolidation phase?
