12 April, 2024



Bitcoin Exhibits Downtrend, Signals a Bear Trap: Says Analyst 

19 Jul, 2023

26 Oct, 2023

In a recent video analysis by Crypto Rover, Bitcoin’s current market conditions were scrutinized to provide insights into potential future price movements. The analysis focused on accumulation patterns and crucial support levels, shedding light on the possibility of a bear trap and the significance of specific price ranges. This comprehensive examination aims to provide a detailed understanding of Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

Crypto Rover, a leading on-chain analytics provider, shared a Twitter post providing insights on the current performance of Bitcoin:

Bitcoin is currently observed to be trading in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Breaking this downtrend on the topside is a potential signal for a shift in bias. However, it is important to approach conclusions cautiously, as an increasing number of bearish sentiments on social media could indicate a potential bear trap.

The video emphasized the importance of the daily timeframe, with a specific focus on the $20,000 range, which has previously provided significant support. A break below this level might confirm a downward movement, with the next major support target estimated at $28,000. Traders and investors should closely monitor these levels to gauge Bitcoin’s price direction.

The concept of accumulation ranges is explored, utilizing historical data for analysis. Notably, the recent accumulation range of around $30k is highlighted, with over 910,000 Bitcoins accumulated. This accumulation represents approximately 5% of the total supply, suggesting the presence of strong buying interest. Previous accumulation ranges at $16,500 and $3,400 are also mentioned, emphasizing the subsequent significant price rallies. Considering the current surge in accumulation, it is plausible to anticipate another substantial move if BTC dips below $30k.

The analysis considers the cup and handle pattern, with Bitcoin observed to be consolidating below the pattern. This consolidation phase could potentially lead to a breakout in the near future. While the analyst predicted a bullish expectation based on on-chain data, it is crucial to acknowledge bearish divergences and inflation rates as factors that need consideration. Despite these factors, the potential for an upward surge similar to past occurrences is not ruled out.

Today, the Bitcoin price is at $29,998.65, with a 24-hour trading volume of $13,243,743,947. Bitcoin has experienced a minor decrease of 0.04% in the last 24 hours, bringing its live market cap to $582,981,432,292. The circulating supply of Bitcoin is currently 19,433,587 BTC coins, with a max supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins. The price of BTC has been hovering around the $30k mark for some time, with conflicting forces of bears and bulls engaged in a tug-of-war.

Source: Tradingview

The daily technical indicators suggest a neutral sentiment, as the 20-SMA and 50-SMA present mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also neutral, indicating that Bitcoin’s price is neither overbought nor oversold. Although the MACD indicator is slightly bearish, it suggests the possibility of buyers stepping in soon. Additionally, the 20-EMA and 50-EMA reveal a prolonged consolidation period, potentially leading to an imminent breakout.

In conclusion, analyzing Bitcoin’s market conditions, accumulation patterns, and crucial support levels provides valuable insights for traders and investors. While Bitcoin currently exhibits a downtrend, a break above the downtrend may signify a shift in bias. The significance of key support levels, such as $20,000 and $28,000, should be monitored closely. Moreover, historical data on accumulation ranges indicates strong buying interest, with the potential for significant price movements if Bitcoin dips below $30,000.

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