29 February, 2024



Bitcoin’s Fate Hangs in the Balance: Will it Hold at $38,000?

1 month ago

24 Feb, 2024

  • Bitcoin nears the key $38,000 level, a crucial support/resistance point, impacting future price trajectory.
  • The Short-Term Holder realized price at $37,800 adds significance to this level, making it a focal point for market watchers.
  • The near-term direction of Bitcoin is uncertain, influenced by macroeconomic factors and the inherent market volatility.

As Bitcoin hovers around $39,991.34, market watchers closely observe its approach to a crucial support level. As highlighted by Crypto Tony, a renowned blockchain figure, the $38,000 mark, previously a significant resistance and support point, is now under scrutiny. 

In 2023, this level played a pivotal role in Bitcoin’s price movements. According to CryptoQuant, an analytic platform, it provided substantial support in March and June while acting as a formidable resistance in April, November of 2022, and October of 2023. Currently, the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price is pegged at $37,800, enhancing the significance of this zone.

Analyzing Bitcoin’s technical indicators sheds light on the potential market trajectory. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44.74 indicates a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. Hence, this suggests a possible increase in selling pressure, though not drastic enough to signal an oversold market. 

Meanwhile, the 4-hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a strong bearish momentum. This reinforces the possibility of a downward trend in the near term.

Moreover, the 4-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) readings provide additional insights. Positioning the 50 EMA beneath the 100 and 200 EMAs confirms ongoing selling pressure. Hence, Bitcoin’s price will likely continue its downward trajectory in the forthcoming period.

Bitcoin/USD 4-hour price chart, Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s performance is not isolated but interlinked with various macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility and unpredictability. Consequently, while technical analysis provides valuable insights, it’s not infallible.

Bitcoin’s near-term price action is at a critical juncture whereby the $38,000 level is not just a number but a significant psychological and technical marker. As investors and traders watch this space, technical indicators and broader market forces will determine Bitcoin’s direction. Significantly, the outcome of this movement could set the tone for Bitcoin’s market behavior in the upcoming weeks.

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